web_010614-N-8894M-001If the Navy is going to spend time thinking about new frigates or pondering “up-gunning” the Littoral Combat Ship (LCS), then America should also be thinking about developing a low-mix, austere DDG-51.

Look, if the U.S. Navy is looking for a low-end Destroyer, then why not use the excellent high-end DDG-51 as a starting point? Why are we just using an allegedly “flawed” LCS as the starting point? And is down-sizing the DDG-51 into a bare-bones, sweet-sailing and export-ready variant–a “Littoral Operations Variant” DDG-51-economically possible or operationally feasible?

A low-end DDG-51 might just work.

If CNO Admiral Greenert’s Small Surface Combatant Task Force decides current LCS variants can’t do the job without a major refit, then, heck, let’s just see what an austere DDG-51 will cost the Nation if converted into a Littoral Operations variant. (Look, I still like the conceptual foundation for the LCS, but an up-gunned LCS is not the cost-effective, low-end, civil-spec mix-it-up platform I had originally supported.)

We have, I fear, gold-plated the LCS–an interesting and much-needed “niche” anti-sub and anti-mine platform–to death.

So, yes, it might be time to just pull the plug on LCS if it needs major work to take the frigate–small destroyer–role. From my vantage point, every LCS up-gunning scheme or post-LCS frigate option comes with a real risk of turning into another controversial, high-risk and pricey kludge just as the Navy is desperately looking for money to buy, say, SSBN(X).

(And we’re going to decide on all this and commit to it even before LCS faces shock-trials? My goodness…)

DDG-81_Shock_TrialAt the end of the day, it has got to be far easier to take stuff off a big ship—a big ship that already meets all the Navy’s survivability and durability requirements–than to try and shoehorn all kinds of equipment onto a smaller hullform.

Even with the added expense of a somewhat larger hull, the hot production lines, the efficiencies that come from having a 75-hull DDG-51 fleet already in service (with, I might add, mature training, maintenance and operational protocols already integrated into the fleet), and absolutely no concerns about the platform’s fundamental viability, make a “Littoral Operations Variant” DDG-51 look like a good deal.

121031-N-RF968-004A bare-bones DDG-51 variant would be more lethal, more survivable, and more durable than the LCS. And trying out a “low-end” DDG-51 makes certain economic, operational and doctrinal sense—at least as much sense as some of the wild and crazy schemes that are, right now, being passed off as our “Post-LCS” future.

Conventional wisdom suggests a DDG-51 hull is too pricey at $1.8 billion. But I suspect an up-gunned LCS will be pushing into billion dollar territory anyway. So, if a bare-bones Littoral-ready DDG-51 variant has even a remote chance of being procured for a billion dollars or so, then let’s just do it—or at least discuss it a bit.

In my mind, the savings from platform commonality and shared training, maintenance and growth margin will pay for themselves in short order.

Let’s think about this.

The LCS Ain’t Small:

lcs_2_frontAs the LCS got increasingly gold-plated—and a press for blue water prowess grew—the lines between the mainstream DDG and the LCS became increasingly blurred. So if we’re looking for a tad less capable DDG-51, then let’s just do it.

But the DDG-51 is too big, you say? Yeah, well, look. Calling the LCS “Small” has always been a stretch. But calling the up-gunned LCS and their other likely competitors “small” is silly.

As a bit of an aside, it is high time to stop using the term “Small Surface Combatant” in relation to the Littoral Combat Ship (LCS) or in Fleet planning documents.  The term “Small Surface Combatant” has become less about volume than about smaller, less-complex mission-sets.

Look at the dimensions–the Arleigh Burke Class DDG-51 measures 154 meters. The most up-gunned variant of the Freedom Class LCS clocks in at 150 meters, the Spanish F-100 frigates are 147 meters, the Danish Iver Huitfeldts are 139 meters, old FFG-7s are 136 meters, while the Indy-Class LCS-2 is a mere 127 meters (but makes up for it with a 32-meter beam). The Huntington-Ingalls Frigates are also about 127 meters.

Image converted using ifftoanyWe’re talking a difference of 89 to 14 feet. One of the major selling-points of the LCS was that it could “go where the big ships couldn’t” to engage.  Well, let’s save that mission for the existing 24-ship LCS fleet, the JHSV fleet and, in time, an Offshore Patrol Cutter variant.

Displacement?  Sure. That’s where you get some real differences. DDG-51 clocks in at 6,800 long tons, while the F-100s are 5,800, the Iver Huitfeldts are around 5,800, the FFG-7 was 4,100 (also wise to keep in mind that the ship’s original displacement has grown). But I can only presume that the up-gunned LCS and NSC Frigates will weigh in at something like 4,000-5,000 tons.

So, to get all the Pentagon’s extra gear and survivability enhancements aboard, there’s only going to be about 1,000-2,000 tons in displacement differences between the current DDG-51 and the up-gunned LCS. Strip DDG-51 down to the bare bones, and I’ll bet the displacement differences will substantially narrow, while many of the ancillary risks/concerns over survivability, durability, long-term viability and so forth go away.

In the grand scheme of things, acquisition of the basic “Hull, Mechanical and Electrical” ship and ship systems can become relatively cheap if built in numbers. So why not take the savings from the hot Flight III DDG-51 production line and make it even hotter? Better yet, sell a few lead ships to, oh, say, the Saudis, and that’ll go a long way in helping to defray development costs.

web_050614-N-0000X-002Love the Space/Weight Reservations

The problem with any effort to build a frigate-sized ship is that the niche is already crowded with an array of mature, margin-pushing and highly-engineered platforms.

No naval architect I know can eke anything better out of the current generation of 4,000-ton-ish frigates. Until game-changing tech comes along, the smaller 4,000-ton, frigate-like ships are a developmental dead end. And every ship we build along conventional frigate lines will be facing a sea full of virtually-identical competitors.

But…even a modestly fitted-out Littoral Operations Variant DDG-51 gives the US Navy a substantial overmatch when put against any 4,000-ton frigate out there.

If we do explore the Littoral Operations Variant DDG-51, the real focus should be upon 1) stripping it down to the bare bones, and 2) making the ship upgradable. Forget modularity—in fact, the Navy should do everything they can to keep mission modules from becoming a program of record ever again–and use open computing infrastructures to help make rapid, bolt-on add-ins/upgrades a reality (and shunt the modular Mission Modules to JHSV/MLP/AFSB platforms with help from the Navy’s upcoming tug/salvage ship recapitalization, and, later, a militarized OPC).

All the Littoral Operations Variant DDG-51 needs is an agreement on what to scrimp on.

That won’t be easy, but a Littoral Operations Variant DDG-51 certainly could sail into contested waters without all the VLS cells that grace, say, a Flight II DDG-51. And a Littoral Operations Variant DDG-51 certainly could reserve the space/weight for a quick add-in of VLS cells and other weapons/sensors/pipes should conditions warrant.

Does DDG-51 need the SPY-1D? Could it not sail with a less complex, smaller Aegis radar? Or an even cheaper non-Aegis platform?

web_021213-N-0000X-001Flexibility would need to be paramount. The Navy would need to see what they could prune from the platform without interfering with the developments in naval warfare we see on the horizon—directed energy weapons, rail guns, ECM fittings, UAVs/UUVs, etc.. What else can we cut that would reduce the manning—yet still allow for the ship to safely “bulk up” with extra riders during times of tension?

Surely a Littoral Variant DDG-51 can harbor organic ASW resources and offer easy bolt-on support for Mine Warfare (Look at the photo and remember what the mine-hunting DDGs were rigged to carry)

The possibilities are endless.

In comparison, an up-gunned LCS is at real risk of loosing flexibility. Up-gunning essentially locks LCS into today’s weaponry. But with a bare-bones, austere DDG-51 Littoral Variant, the potential to integrate future weaponry remains a viable reality instead of a margin-shaving, difficult-to-near-impossible feat of naval engineering.

web_041112-N-0024B-002Commonality:

For years the LCS community has been flailing around, desperately floating schemes  to increase the amount of equipment common between the two different LCSs and, in turn, the rest of the fleet.

But it turns out that the answer has been staring us in the face:

The common component of the surface combatant fleet is the DDG-51 hullform. We probably never should have gotten away from that.

And then there are those fancy “extras” we’ve been struggling to put into place for our two new LCS variants. With a Littoral Operations Variant DDG-51, there’s really no need for a fancy new training pipeline, or new maintenance practices, or additional niche shiphandling expertise. It’s all already there, bought and paid for three or four times over.

Industrial Base:

Embracing a low-end DDG-51 helps protect Bath Ironworks and Ingalls, and may, by simply adding hulls, offer a means to protect the high-end Flight III DDG-51 by reducing total cost.

The LCS-producers don’t need to be left behind, either. Austal’s JHSV is strong contender to support many of the engagement-and-port-call activities, while Marinette could get ten new hulls from the Navy’s upcoming fleet tug and the salvage ship recapitalization effort (and frankly, all of these ships should be built to accept certain portions of the original LCS mission modules).

That leaves us with the OPC. USCG Admiral Papp put a lot of energy in getting a good, basic sea-keeper designs under contract. As the Coast Guard closes in on a contender, the Navy must engage to see how this interesting small ship can be militarized and, so doing, become a real “small surface combatant”. I think the OPC is the type of ship that could be distributed off to several smaller yards, and we could keep building them forever.

Conclusion:

I am still an LCS guy. I’d love to see the LCS concept be given time to grow and develop.

I am also convinced that the LCS is the right test platform to have during this time of rapid technological change. But all the fleet in-fighting and moaning and groaning about the platform distracts from, what I think, is the real mission–providing a simpler, flexible and cost-effective platform capable of rapid projection of new technology, while, at the same time, freeing up valuable high-end combatants. In time, we may end up loving the base-model LCS–and want even more–but a big refit to take on a small-destroyer role will mean just another round of acrimony and fingerpointing just as the Navy is desperately seeking money for, say, SSBN(X).

But right now, a very low-end, austere DDG-51 variant can do all that “rapid technology projection and free up the high-end assets” work just fine. And everybody from Senator McCain on down would love it. So…CNO Admiral Greenert, why don’t you have your folks in the Small Surface Combatant Task Force take a moment and see just how much it’ll cost to get a low-end, austere Littoral Operations Variant DDG-51 into the fleet?

Follow NextNavy on Twitter

View Craig Hooper's profile on LinkedIn

{ 20 comments }

pictureislandsDespite all the handwringing over Japan’s overly-bellicose-for-Western-tastes speechmaking, everyone rational should all welcome Japan’s public announcement that the southernmost tip of the Ryukyu/Nansei island chain, Yonaguni Island, will–in a few years–be home to a 150-soldier surveillance base.

Frankly, this sort of facility is long overdue

Surveillance adds stability to the region.

We all know China likes to operate unobserved, and prefers to present the world with their latest “newly-seized reef” or “destabilized border” as a fait accompli. Good ISR helps keep China honest, and will help stabilize the disputed Senkaku Island zone.

So, of course China is going to hate any step to inject additional ISR resources into the region. (And, for that matter, so will a few island locals–who earned their keep in the smuggling trade)

But if you read, oh, RT, Al Jazzera and the Guardian, you’d be excused if you thought China was now obligated to start operations to liberate Yonaguni Island–to heck with territorial integrity! After all, the island is, as RT.Com helpfully tells us, “far closer to China and Taiwan than it is to Japan’s major isles.”

Here are some of their hand-wringing reviews:

RT: “Tokyo is likely to provoke wrath from Beijing after starting work on a new radar station close to the disputed Senkaku, or Diaoyu Islands…”

Al Jazzera: ” Local anger and Japan Island surveillance unit: Residents scuffle with officials as Tokyo begins construction of coastal monitoring unit near islands claimed by China.”

The Guardian: “Japan risks angering China with military expansion:….:The Japanese defence minister, Itsunori Onodera: “This is the first deployment since the US returned Okinawa in 1972 and calls for us to be more on guard are growing”

To help see though the hype (and Onodera’s rhetoric), consider Yonaguni Island Japan’s equivalent to Key West, Florida. Just as Key West is 90-100 miles from that dangerous hive of cigar-makers–Havana, Cuba–Yonaguni is 90-100 miles from the contested Senkaku Islands–and Taiwan.

So…what can one glean from that rather forced analogy?  Well, to put it into an American frame of reference, Japan has essentially announced that, despite being in the midst of a Cuban Missile Crisis-like situation, the Japanese Self Defense Forces will, in a few years, put a radar in their Key West.

Now, that’s not exactly a Kennedy-esque response, is it? Even President Carter–in his peaceful, present-day dotage–would probably chose to move faster than Japan.

110923-N-AC979-258When roles were reversed, and the US faced a threat 90 miles from our south-easternmost point, Key West almost sank under the weight of all the military gear placed there.

Even today, with few viable hazards beyond the occasional Russian intel-gathering tug, Key West is still host to an enormous array of military facilities–Joint Interagency Task Force South (a funky anti-smuggling, anti-crime, anti-Cuba spook house), Coast Guard Sector Key West, U.S. Army Special Forces Underwater Operations School, and Naval Air Station Key West (Boca Chica!). Add in a surveillance Aerostat mooring-point, Truman Harbor, and sufficient extra berthing-space for a CVN (if the Cruise Ships can moor there, then, why not a CVN in a pinch?) and a few other interesting odds and ends, Key West remains an awfully militarized corner of the nation.

So, while Yonaguni may not be able to be host to all those things, it certainly has–if Japan wishes–the potential to become something of an armed camp. To Japan’s credit, they have resisted adding military forces to the place for far longer then they probably should have (despite being a known smuggling conduit, the place currently only hosts two (count ‘em) policemen). Yonaguni deserves more than two patrolmen, and the southern Ryukyus/Nanseis certainly merit more than just a radar station and a southward redeployment of E-2C surveillance planes to Okinawa.

Sigh. Aside from the unfortunate “deployment” chest-thumping from Onodera (which, in my assessment, isn’t exactly true. Japanese SDF personnel took over Marcus Island’s LORAN-C navigation station in 1993, and the SDF opened few new domestic bases in various spots over the last few years.), a radar station was a long-expected.

The real question was when Japan would get around to it. Despite talking about Ryukyus vulnerability for YEARS (I add a screen grab from one of Japan’s excellent Defense White Papers-2012–for review), Japan has really dragged it’s feet over injecting some military resources onto Yonaguni and the lower Ryukyus, and THAT, in my assessment, has done far more to destabilize things than overt militarization would have.

With China, good, well-tended fences make good neighbors. Un-attended ones…well, talk to India and the Philippines and Vietnam….and even Russia.

It would certainly be nice to leave the lower Ryukyus as they are–an out of the way place for smugglers and, oh, a reincarnated Japanese version of Ernest Hemingway, but, alas, nationalism intervenes.

Island defense

Follow NextNavy on Twitter

View Craig Hooper's profile on LinkedIn

{ 0 comments }

Did A Quest For Efficiencies Almost Sink PCU North Dakota?

April 18, 2014

It has been great to see Virginia Class sub builders race each other to drive down cost and schedule. But when these competitive pressures start to impact crew safety, we all need to step back, take a few deep breaths, and re-evaluate. For the PCU North Dakota, the pressure to make schedule–and improve upon the […]

Read the full article →

A Tale of Two Ships: On DDG-1000, LCS Faults Are Strengths

April 15, 2014

The LCS and DDG-1000 are both very different, and yet, they are also very similar–each sports controversial non-traditional hull-forms, minimal crews, no bridge wings, non-traditional hull materials, as-yet undeveloped hi-tech weapons and cost-growth. And while the LCS gets kicked around for these qualities/faults/weaknesses, the DDG-1000 always gets a pass. Every time. It’s amazing. Even with something […]

Read the full article →

LCS Files: When Naval Innovation Reform Fails

April 11, 2014

We can all hope CNO Greenert’s sequestered LCS(NEXT) Requirements Team is hard at work, leveraging all the LCS lessons-learned to date, plugging the info into a fancy matrix and boiling their findings into something that will, in time, provide the Nation with an ideal “Small-Ship-Of-The-Future”. It’s just not bloody likely. Sure, the CNO’s “Deep Thinkers” […]

Read the full article →

America’s Perilous Habit of Undervaluing Islands:

March 30, 2014

As Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel heads off to Asia to urge resolution of some of Asia’s island disputes, many Americans will continue to scratch their heads in wonder as to why several Asian countries are at loggerheads over some small, seemingly useless and unpopulated islands. It’s a hopeless case of nationalism gone amok, signal […]

Read the full article →

America Must Start Counting The National Fleet

March 21, 2014

In a paroxysm of hand-wringing and rending of garments, the U.S. Navy changed the way it counts the battle fleet, growing the active fleet a bit, to 290. Most observers were outraged, sensing the Navy was using an accounting gimmick to grow the fleet. But…I wasn’t too upset. Like most of my readers, I am […]

Read the full article →

Why Are Navy Helos Getting Marginalized?

March 13, 2014

The Navy’s new budget suggests that the humble Navy helicopter has fallen out of favor. Traditionally, the simple ole’ helicopter has been one of the more effective means for surface ships to pursue Anti-Submarine Warfare (ASW) and Anti-Swarm operations. The run-of-the-mill helicopter remains critical for surface combatant resupply, personnel transfer and (sometimes) ISR. It adds […]

Read the full article →

Can The Navy And A Gentrifying West Coast Coexist?

March 4, 2014

It is time to face the facts: A steadily gentrifying West Coast could sink the U.S. Navy’s Pacific Fleet far faster than any hostile Asian Navy. It’s a maritime fact of life: To function, all navies need waterfront property and a strong, somewhat heavy industrial base to support it. For the U.S. Navy, basing choices […]

Read the full article →

Can Huntington Ingalls Industries Survive?

February 25, 2014

Despite some recent balance sheet successes from Navy Shipbuilder Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) and a one-year reprieve on downsizing the nuclear carrier fleet, the company’s mid-term prospects are very worrisome. This opinion stands as something of a contrarian view. And it certainly disagrees with Wall Street–after HII peeled away from Northrop Grumman in early 2011, […]

Read the full article →